Showing posts with label Butterfly. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Butterfly. Show all posts

Friday, August 28, 2009

MNX Fly Update 8-28


Yesterday morning we had a nice downdraft, just as I had hoped for... it took us right near the tip of the arrow. Meanwhile, we hit the 15% profit target (in this case $300). I rarely am able to see when things hit, but it happened early in the morning and I was able to grab a snapshot of the open position prior to exiting.
Sadly the exit got crushed on slippage, but I still ended up with about a 12% profit even after all the costs.
Good Trading...

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

MNX Fly Update 8-26

Sorry for the sparse updates. I have had some very busy days and travel. Meanwhile, the Fly is in pretty good shape, although Deltas continue to be short. Directionally we remain overbought and it seems to me we're due for at least a minor correction day. With one good down move we could hit the tip of the yellow arrow, which would be pretty near to my profit target of 15%.

Good Trading...

Thursday, August 20, 2009

MNX Fly Update 8-20

I'm traveling and very busy so just a quick one. The Fly is doing fine, and up about 7%. It looks like we could have a pull back tomorrow, which would be great, given that Deltas are sitting at -33. I will do an update if anything significant happens... otherwise just assume I'm sitting on my hands collecting Theta.

Good Trading...

Tuesday, August 18, 2009

MNX Fly Update 8-18

The MNX Butterfly that we started last week is off to a decent start. We are currently up about 5% and Deltas are fairly flat. Today, at the 5% profit level, one of my money management rules was triggered. Here are some special rules that I keep in place for butterflies:
Up 5% - Stoploss is Breakeven
Up 10% - Stoploss is +5%
Up 15% - Remove the trade... ring the register.
Simply put, once I'm up 5% I'm not willing to lose money. I will stay in the trade and try to acheive my profit target (15%), but I don't want to lose, so if it hits zero I take it off. That's where we are.
Good Trading...

Friday, August 14, 2009

Feature Trade... MNX Butterfly

Today I launched a new trade that I will track for the September expiration. I haven't featured a butterfly, yet I carry some nearly every month. Specifically, this one is on MNX, the mini-NASDAQ-100. It operates at one-tenth the value of the NDX.

To start things off we have two graphs. The first shows a basic Butterfly with strikes at 147.5/160/172.5. The one thing I want to point out here, which is a standard characteristic of Butterflys, is the negative Deltas (-48). You can see this expressed in the graph by looking at the steep slope of the white line on the right hand side (under the arrow). It's very clear that if the price moves up our trade will lose value quickly.

To counter this characteristic I have added an extra call at the 172.5 strike for each fly-spread. This drops our Deltas to -17, flattening the equity curve substantally. You can see the line under the arrow is now much flatter.

My risk management for this trade is extremely simple. I will either take it off for a 15% profit, OR a 10% loss. In the past I have used many different types of management including adding more butterflys, adjusting by adding or removing spreads, moving the butterfly, etc. But this simple management approach tends to be easy and fairly effective.